Base and Superstructure

Thoughts on production, alienation, and ideology

Category: Elections (Page 11 of 17)

These are posts on elections from the blog Base and Superstructure. Topics include international elections, American elections, and local Iowa elections. There’s a particular focus on describing and explaining leftist electoral results.

people of color vote Bernie Sanders

Who Are People of Color Voting For?

February 20, 2020 /

Iowa and New Hampshire have voted already, and Nevada’s coming up! With a large field and more attention to diversity in the Democratic Party, we’ve heard a lot of talk about who people of color support. Some people – notably Julián Castro – point out the  whiteness of the early states.

Castro’s right, but Iowa and New Hampshire aren’t 100% white. There are lots of people of color in each state, and they voted. Who did people of color vote for in Iowa and New Hampshire? And do those numbers predict how people of color will vote in other states?

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still win democratic nomination debate bernie sanders klobuchar steyer

Who Can (Still) Win the Democratic Nomination?

February 13, 2020 /

About a month ago, I wrote a post arguing only 8 people can still win the Democratic nomination.

Only?! For such a late date, 8 was a lot! By this point in 2016, it was down to (probably) Hillary Clinton or (very unlikely) Bernie Sanders. And the Iowa Caucus traditionally winnows the field even further. Did it do so this time? How about New Hampshire?

The early states provided some mess and some clarity. And so, I’ll ask: who can still win the Democratic nomination?

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Iowa Caucus ballot

Impact of the Iowa Caucus: 5 Theses

February 6, 2020 /

Contrary to even the safest predictions, there was no winner on the night of the Iowa Caucus. Oh, there was a winner. The next day. In fact, Iowa was so generous it gave us two potential winners: Bernie Sanders in the popular vote and Pete Buttigieg in the delegate count. Or maybe Bernie in both. We’ll see. But the entire Iowa Caucus fiasco blunted its impact.

Let’s take a look at how the Iowa Caucus will impact the next steps.

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Why You Should Vote For Bernie Sanders

February 3, 2020 /

Bernie Sanders

There are many reasons to love Iowa: corn, bacon, cold winters, lovely people. One of my favorite reasons is the New Pioneer Food Co-op. Oh, and we get to vote first. Yes, that last one is controversial, causing much wailing and gnashing of teeth. Much of it justified. But I’m not here to discuss fairness in the nomination process. I’ve already done that. Today, we Iowans vote (actually, caucus). I’m voting for Bernie Sanders. When your time comes, I think you should, too.

Here’s why.

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Cardi B Bernie Sanders

Bernie and Cardi B: The Iowa Problem

January 30, 2020 /

Last July, a Silent Generation Vermont senator from Brooklyn met with a Millennial Bronx rapper. In a Detroit nail salon, Bernie Sanders and Cardi B talked about a lot of issues. But the conversation hinged on young people, the issues they face, and how they can get involved in electoral politics.

In his 2016 run for president, Sanders earned his reputation as the candidate of young people. It was that election where Cardi B first noticed Sanders, instructing listeners to ‘vote for Daddy Bernie, bitch.’ From the middle of the country to the coasts, Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton again and again among voters under 40. And he’s earning that reputation again in the 2020 cycle. In the most recent polling, Sanders leads young voters by 17 (HarrisX/The Hill), 21 (YouGov/Economist), and 21 (Quinnipiac) points. When young people vote, Bernie Sanders wins. And more broadly, when young people vote, social democracy wins. So, why didn’t Bernie win in 2016? And why is he still running a bit behind Joe Biden in 2020?

Let’s think about this by looking at the Iowa problem.

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