Alienation, autonomy, and ideology

Category: Iowa (Page 14 of 15)

One Tip for Each Presidential Candidate

Each presidential candidate is traveling to Iowa, and each presidential candidate has a problem or two. Today I’ll be their consultant.

I’ve got a few quibbles with 538’s taxonomy, but it’s a good starting point. Arguably there are five corners to the Democratic primary electorate. 538 draws a distinction between ‘party loyalists’ and ‘the left,’ whereas the better distinction is probably between ‘moderate’ Democrats and ‘progressive’ Democrats, but whatever. It’s a start.

I’ll lay out one key thing each candidate needs to do to get in a position to win the nomination.

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Mapping Trump’s Rhetoric

rhetoric Trump

Photo by Pete Linforth. https://pixabay.com/en/users/TheDigitalArtist-202249/

There’s a certain pattern to how Trump and his interlocutors engage one another. A certain pattern of rhetoric, if you like.

It works something like this. Trump makes a wild claim. Usually it’s false. An opponent, or the news media, points out how and why it’s false. Trump doesn’t blink, and Trump’s supporters don’t blink. Trump wins, or, at the very least, doesn’t lose. Trump’s opponents look very confused as they fail to gain traction.

Why does this happen?

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Why Did Fred Hubbell Lose?

The 2018 election went pretty well for Democrats in Iowa, as I predicted. They took 2 of 3 Republican House seats. They won seats in the state legislature. Not enough for a majority, but better than last election. Democrats also did pretty well nationally, as we know. But it didn’t go so well for Fred Hubbell.

Fred Hubbell lost.

Why did he lose?

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